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Sep 29, 2026

Session operations journal

Evaluation Funnel Summary

Mean-reversion candidates, signal filtering, model approvals, and broker execution

Evaluated339Candidates in basket
Signal Passed26Cleared streak rules
Model Approved24P(reversion) ≥ 50%
Orders Submitted4Paper queue
Filled Trades4Broker fills

Executed Trade Reports (4)

Complete economic accounting, capital allocation, and realized outcome per position

IREN25x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-10-09
Closed · risk rules satisfiedFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 4d (negative)
Robust Z: -0.98
Model P(rev): 68.3%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $42.00
Long Wing: $40.00
Width: $2.00 (25 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$2,075.00
Max Risk: $2,925.00
Realized: $-625.00
Exit Fill: $1.08 / sh ($2,700.00 total)Feasibility: 0.68x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$2,300.00 vs max risk
TSLA2x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-10-16
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 3d (negative)
Robust Z: -1.66
Model P(rev): 64.6%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $360.00
Long Wing: $345.00
Width: $15.00 (2 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$1,490.00
Max Risk: $1,510.00
Unrealized: $-60.00
Current Mark: $7.75 / sh ($1,550.00 to close)Feasibility: 0.00x EM (Feasible)
SPCX25x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-10-16
Closed · risk rules satisfiedFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 4d (negative)
Robust Z: -0.52
Model P(rev): 62.9%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $145.00
Long Wing: $143.00
Width: $2.00 (25 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$2,000.00
Max Risk: $3,000.00
Realized: $-125.00
Exit Fill: $0.85 / sh ($2,125.00 total)Feasibility: 0.00x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$2,875.00 vs max risk
USB5x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-10-02
Closed · forced exit dte 3Full Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 6d (negative)
Robust Z: -1.92
Model P(rev): 79.3%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $59.00
Long Wing: $57.00
Width: $2.00 (5 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$400.00
Max Risk: $600.00
Realized: $-385.00
Exit Fill: $1.57 / sh ($785.00 total)Feasibility: 0.00x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$215.00 vs max risk

Active Positions & Working Orders

Live overnight holdings and active paper queue state

Open Overnight Positions (5)
MT25 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $65 / Long $63
C25 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-09 (DTE: 6)
Short $128 / Long $126
MT2 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $65 / Long $64
CBRS3 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-09 (DTE: 6)
Short $170 / Long $162.5
TSLA2 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $360 / Long $345
Working Paper Orders (0)
0 working orders pending in paper queue.

Candidate Screening & Model Decisions

Actionable mean-reversion setups prioritized by execution status and model win-probability

Ticker & SectorStreak SetupModel P(rev)StageDecision & Rationale
USBFinancial Services1d (negative) · Z: 0.0276.8%Filled5x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $0.80 credit · Closed: forced exit dte 3
IRENFinancial Services4d (negative) · Z: -0.9868.3%Filled25x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $0.83 credit · Closed: risk rules satisfied
TSLAConsumer Cyclical3d (negative) · Z: -1.6664.6%Filled2x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $7.45 credit · Closed: risk rules satisfied
SPCXIndustrials4d (negative) · Z: -0.5262.9%Filled25x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $0.80 credit · Closed: risk rules satisfied
TEAMTechnology3d (negative) · Z: -1.2082.6%Screen Clearedcore open-risk cap
AWKUtilities3d (negative) · Z: -1.2681.2%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
AURConsumer Cyclical5d (negative) · Z: -4.9679.3%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
CDWTechnology4d (negative) · Z: -1.0274.6%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
HUTFinancial Services4d (negative) · Z: -0.6174.2%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
WPMBasic Materials4d (negative) · Z: -1.0473.1%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
NEMBasic Materials4d (negative) · Z: -1.9572.8%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
GLXYFinancial Services4d (negative) · Z: -0.5772.4%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
RBLXCommunication Services5d (negative) · Z: -4.0471.9%Screen Clearedcore open-risk cap
EGOBasic Materials4d (negative) · Z: -1.1369.2%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
AEMBasic Materials4d (negative) · Z: -1.5266.0%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
HONAIndustrials5d (negative) · Z: -0.8064.7%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
NUFinancial Services4d (negative) · Z: -4.6264.5%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
JHXBasic Materials4d (negative) · Z: -0.6763.6%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
NOKTechnology5d (negative) · Z: -0.6861.3%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
AUBasic Materials4d (negative) · Z: -2.2359.5%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
FTAIIndustrials7d (negative) · Z: -0.9559.5%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
UTechnology3d (negative) · Z: -1.5058.6%Screen Clearedcore open-risk cap
MTZIndustrials5d (negative) · Z: -0.8957.1%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
BWXTIndustrials6d (negative) · Z: -0.8753.6%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads