← OverviewDaily journal

Oct 1, 2026

Session operations journal

Evaluation Funnel Summary

Mean-reversion candidates, signal filtering, model approvals, and broker execution

Evaluated393Candidates in basket
Signal Passed29Cleared streak rules
Model Approved27P(reversion) ≥ 50%
Orders Submitted4Paper queue
Filled Trades4Broker fills

Executed Trade Reports (4)

Complete economic accounting, capital allocation, and realized outcome per position

EQT14x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-10-09
Closed · catastrophic debit capFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 3d (negative)
Robust Z: -0.74
Model P(rev): 74.0%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $49.00
Long Wing: $48.00
Width: $1.00 (14 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$518.00
Max Risk: $882.00
Realized: $-672.00
Exit Fill: $0.85 / sh ($1,190.00 total)Feasibility: 0.00x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$210.00 vs max risk
RKLB25x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-10-02
Closed · threatened expiration riskFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 3d (negative)
Robust Z: -1.30
Model P(rev): 61.9%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $70.00
Long Wing: $69.00
Width: $1.00 (25 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$925.00
Max Risk: $1,575.00
Realized: $-1,000.00
Exit Fill: $0.77 / sh ($1,925.00 total)Feasibility: 0.00x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$575.00 vs max risk
IREN25x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-10-09
Closed · long wing breachedFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 4d (negative)
Robust Z: -0.98
Model P(rev): 68.3%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $42.00
Long Wing: $40.00
Width: $2.00 (25 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$2,075.00
Max Risk: $2,925.00
Realized: $-1,475.00
Exit Fill: $1.42 / sh ($3,550.00 total)Feasibility: 0.68x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$1,450.00 vs max risk
JPM7x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-10-09
Closed · catastrophic debit capFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 5d (negative)
Robust Z: -3.67
Model P(rev): 75.9%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $342.50
Long Wing: $327.50
Width: $15.00 (7 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$4,270.00
Max Risk: $6,230.00
Realized: $-5,005.00
Exit Fill: $13.25 / sh ($9,275.00 total)Feasibility: 0.48x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$1,225.00 vs max risk

Active Positions & Working Orders

Live overnight holdings and active paper queue state

Open Overnight Positions (5)
MT25 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $65 / Long $63
C25 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-09 (DTE: 6)
Short $128 / Long $126
MT2 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $65 / Long $64
CBRS3 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-09 (DTE: 6)
Short $170 / Long $162.5
TSLA2 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $360 / Long $345
Working Paper Orders (0)
0 working orders pending in paper queue.

Candidate Screening & Model Decisions

Actionable mean-reversion setups prioritized by execution status and model win-probability

Ticker & SectorStreak SetupModel P(rev)StageDecision & Rationale
EQTEnergy4d (negative) · Z: 0.1570.6%Filled14x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $0.37 credit · Closed: catastrophic debit cap
IRENFinancial Services6d (negative) · Z: -0.1166.2%Filled25x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $0.83 credit · Closed: long wing breached
RKLBIndustrials1d (positive) · Z: -0.0366.1%Filled25x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $0.37 credit · Closed: threatened expiration risk
JPMGeneral——Filled7x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $6.10 credit · Closed: catastrophic debit cap
SANFinancial Services3d (negative) · Z: -1.6188.3%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
GMConsumer Cyclical3d (negative) · Z: -1.5883.9%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
TDFinancial Services3d (negative) · Z: -1.0076.5%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
EQHFinancial Services3d (negative) · Z: -1.1872.4%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
BNSFinancial Services3d (negative) · Z: -2.6170.4%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
MICCConsumer Defensive4d (negative) · Z: -2.7170.4%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
TRUFinancial Services3d (negative) · Z: -1.1368.6%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
PYPLFinancial Services3d (negative) · Z: -1.3868.3%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
BKREnergy3d (negative) · Z: -0.8066.7%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
HOODFinancial Services6d (negative) · Z: -0.6766.7%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
STTFinancial Services4d (negative) · Z: -1.0566.7%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
MFCFinancial Services3d (negative) · Z: -1.4465.9%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
EFXIndustrials6d (negative) · Z: -0.5365.8%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
HMCConsumer Cyclical3d (negative) · Z: -1.2064.7%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
HSYConsumer Defensive5d (negative) · Z: -0.9663.3%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
DKNGConsumer Cyclical3d (negative) · Z: -1.2662.6%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
KDPConsumer Defensive3d (negative) · Z: -0.8261.9%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
MSFinancial Services7d (negative) · Z: -2.6060.0%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
APPCommunication Services7d (negative) · Z: -1.3456.8%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
CBRSTechnology4d (negative) · Z: -2.9456.3%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
BNYFinancial Services4d (negative) · Z: -0.6754.7%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
LOWConsumer Cyclical6d (negative) · Z: -0.7052.8%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
LUVIndustrials3d (negative) · Z: -0.9751.5%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads