← OverviewDaily journal

Aug 31, 2026

Session operations journal

Evaluation Funnel Summary

Mean-reversion candidates, signal filtering, model approvals, and broker execution

Evaluated318Candidates in basket
Signal Passed27Cleared streak rules
Model Approved26P(reversion) ≥ 50%
Orders Submitted2Paper queue
Filled Trades2Broker fills

Executed Trade Reports (2)

Complete economic accounting, capital allocation, and realized outcome per position

ONTO1x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-09-18
Closed · risk rules satisfiedFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 3d (negative)
Robust Z: -1.36
Model P(rev): 72.4%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $320.00
Long Wing: $310.00
Width: $10.00 (1 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$440.00
Max Risk: $560.00
Realized: $-710.00
Exit Fill: $11.50 / sh ($1,150.00 total)Feasibility: 1.77x EM (Improbable)
FIVE1x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-09-18
Closed · max holding sessions 3Full Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 3d (negative)
Robust Z: -1.59
Model P(rev): 83.3%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $300.00
Long Wing: $290.00
Width: $10.00 (1 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$600.00
Max Risk: $400.00
Realized: $-640.00
Exit Fill: $12.40 / sh ($1,240.00 total)Feasibility: 1.88x EM (Improbable)

Active Positions & Working Orders

Live overnight holdings and active paper queue state

Open Overnight Positions (5)
MT25 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $65 / Long $63
C25 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-09 (DTE: 6)
Short $128 / Long $126
MT2 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $65 / Long $64
CBRS3 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-09 (DTE: 6)
Short $170 / Long $162.5
TSLA2 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $360 / Long $345
Working Paper Orders (0)
0 working orders pending in paper queue.

Candidate Screening & Model Decisions

Actionable mean-reversion setups prioritized by execution status and model win-probability

Ticker & SectorStreak SetupModel P(rev)StageDecision & Rationale
FIVEConsumer Cyclical4d (negative) · Z: -0.7579.2%Filled1x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $6.00 credit · Closed: max holding sessions 3
ONTOTechnology3d (negative) · Z: -1.3672.4%Filled1x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $4.40 credit · Closed: risk rules satisfied
PYPLFinancial Services3d (negative) · Z: -8.4485.2%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
PCGUtilities3d (negative) · Z: -3.3781.3%Screen Clearedoption_quote_invalid
GPNIndustrials4d (negative) · Z: -0.6779.2%Screen Clearedoption_quote_spread_too_wide
GILDHealthcare3d (negative) · Z: -2.0877.8%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
SYFFinancial Services3d (negative) · Z: -1.9077.3%Screen Clearedoption_quote_invalid
EIXUtilities3d (negative) · Z: -1.4973.1%Screen Clearedoption_quote_invalid
ALLEIndustrials4d (negative) · Z: -0.7572.7%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
SOUtilities4d (negative) · Z: -0.5472.4%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
HSYConsumer Defensive4d (negative) · Z: -0.6871.4%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
INCYHealthcare3d (negative) · Z: -1.7970.5%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
KGCBasic Materials3d (negative) · Z: -1.6670.2%Screen Clearedoption_quote_invalid
PLDReal Estate4d (negative) · Z: -0.6869.0%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
NEMBasic Materials3d (negative) · Z: -1.5168.0%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
GEHCHealthcare5d (negative) · Z: -0.6567.9%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
AUBasic Materials3d (negative) · Z: -1.4566.7%Screen Clearedoption_quote_spread_too_wide
AMATTechnology6d (negative) · Z: -1.0264.5%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
MODConsumer Cyclical5d (negative) · Z: -1.0764.5%Screen Clearedoption_quote_spread_too_wide
PHYSN/A3d (negative) · Z: -2.5664.3%Screen Clearedno bullish vertical spread meets expected value threshold of $0.00
NEEUtilities4d (negative) · Z: -0.6563.3%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
QTechnology6d (negative) · Z: -1.0761.8%Screen Clearedoption_quote_spread_too_wide
TEVAHealthcare3d (negative) · Z: -2.1658.6%Screen Clearedoption_quote_invalid
AEMBasic Materials3d (negative) · Z: -2.7057.7%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
BBIOHealthcare7d (negative) · Z: -1.2653.8%Screen Clearedoption_quote_invalid
RCLConsumer Cyclical4d (negative) · Z: -0.9452.9%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price