← OverviewDaily journal

Sep 8, 2026

Session operations journal

Evaluation Funnel Summary

Mean-reversion candidates, signal filtering, model approvals, and broker execution

Evaluated510Candidates in basket
Signal Passed56Cleared streak rules
Model Approved55P(reversion) ≥ 50%
Orders Submitted6Paper queue
Filled Trades4Broker fills

Executed Trade Reports (4)

Complete economic accounting, capital allocation, and realized outcome per position

PTC25x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-09-18
Closed · stop lossFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 6d (negative)
Robust Z: -2.09
Model P(rev): 80.8%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $135.00
Long Wing: $130.00
Width: $5.00 (25 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$1,000.00
Max Risk: $11,500.00
Realized: $-8,250.00
Exit Fill: $3.70 / sh ($9,250.00 total)Feasibility: 0.00x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$3,250.00 vs max risk
SNPS9x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-09-18
Closed · stop lossFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 6d (negative)
Robust Z: -5.16
Model P(rev): 72.2%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $397.50
Long Wing: $380.00
Width: $17.50 (9 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$4,410.00
Max Risk: $11,340.00
Realized: $-3,060.00
Exit Fill: $8.30 / sh ($7,470.00 total)Feasibility: 0.00x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$8,280.00 vs max risk
UPS25x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-09-25
Closed · stop lossFull Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 7d (negative)
Robust Z: -0.72
Model P(rev): 70.0%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $102.00
Long Wing: $98.00
Width: $4.00 (25 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$3,700.00
Max Risk: $6,300.00
Realized: $-1,100.00
Exit Fill: $1.92 / sh ($4,800.00 total)Feasibility: 0.00x EM (Feasible)Downside Shielded: +$5,200.00 vs max risk
ONTO1x Bullish Put Credit Spread · Exp: 2026-09-18
Closed · max holding sessions 3Full Economics →
Setup & Conviction
Streak: 3d (negative)
Robust Z: -1.36
Model P(rev): 72.4%
Spread Architecture
Short Strike: $320.00
Long Wing: $310.00
Width: $10.00 (1 contracts)
Capital & P&L
Premium: +$440.00
Max Risk: $560.00
Realized: $-1,000.00
Exit Fill: $14.40 / sh ($1,440.00 total)Feasibility: 1.77x EM (Improbable)

Active Positions & Working Orders

Live overnight holdings and active paper queue state

Open Overnight Positions (5)
MT25 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $65 / Long $63
C25 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-09 (DTE: 6)
Short $128 / Long $126
MT2 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $65 / Long $64
CBRS3 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-09 (DTE: 6)
Short $170 / Long $162.5
TSLA2 contracts · Exp: 2026-10-16 (DTE: 13)
Short $360 / Long $345
Working Paper Orders (0)
0 working orders pending in paper queue.

Candidate Screening & Model Decisions

Actionable mean-reversion setups prioritized by execution status and model win-probability

Ticker & SectorStreak SetupModel P(rev)StageDecision & Rationale
PTCTechnology6d (negative) · Z: -2.0980.8%Filled25x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $0.40 credit · Closed: stop loss
SNPSTechnology6d (negative) · Z: -5.1672.2%Filled9x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $4.90 credit · Closed: stop loss
UPSIndustrials7d (negative) · Z: -0.7270.0%Filled25x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $1.48 credit · Closed: stop loss
ONTOTechnology7d (negative) · Z: -0.2961.3%Filled1x Bullish Put Credit Spread @ $4.40 credit · Closed: max holding sessions 3
FIGTechnology6d (negative) · Z: -0.6382.1%Submitteddaily loss cap
LITETechnology3d (negative) · Z: -0.5374.8%SubmittedNo rationale recorded.
ADPTechnology5d (negative) · Z: -1.1786.7%Screen Clearedoption_quote_spread_too_wide
VTRReal Estate3d (negative) · Z: -1.3283.2%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
INTUTechnology4d (negative) · Z: -0.8382.1%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
NSCIndustrials4d (negative) · Z: -1.3180.8%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
FROGTechnology4d (negative) · Z: -0.8580.6%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
NWSACommunication Services3d (negative) · Z: -2.0780.0%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
PAYXTechnology4d (negative) · Z: -1.7678.6%Screen Clearedoption_quote_spread_too_wide
SNConsumer Cyclical4d (negative) · Z: -0.5877.8%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
EXPDIndustrials4d (negative) · Z: -0.8777.4%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
FIVEConsumer Cyclical3d (negative) · Z: -0.9677.1%Screen Clearedoption_quote_invalid
DASHConsumer Cyclical5d (negative) · Z: -1.8676.0%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
TXRHConsumer Cyclical6d (negative) · Z: -1.7575.0%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
VLTOIndustrials4d (negative) · Z: -1.0375.0%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
MRSHFinancial Services5d (negative) · Z: -0.5574.2%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
WELLReal Estate3d (negative) · Z: -2.0572.8%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
ADSKTechnology6d (negative) · Z: -2.2472.4%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
ECLBasic Materials4d (negative) · Z: -1.3871.0%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
SJMConsumer Defensive3d (negative) · Z: -1.4170.4%Screen Clearedoption_quote_spread_too_wide
GISConsumer Defensive3d (negative) · Z: -1.9869.2%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
AGNCReal Estate5d (negative) · Z: -0.9268.3%Screen Clearedoption_quote_invalid
WITTechnology3d (negative) · Z: -0.5766.9%Screen Clearedno bullish vertical spread meets expected value threshold of $0.00
AAPLTechnology3d (negative) · Z: -1.6766.7%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
NTESCommunication Services4d (negative) · Z: -0.7766.7%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
MMMIndustrials6d (negative) · Z: -1.0665.6%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
PDDConsumer Cyclical4d (negative) · Z: -0.5565.6%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
PINSCommunication Services5d (negative) · Z: -0.7165.5%Screen Cleareddaily loss cap
CIENTechnology3d (negative) · Z: -2.0264.3%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
DXCMHealthcare4d (negative) · Z: -0.9464.3%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
TTWOCommunication Services4d (negative) · Z: -0.6363.3%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
GMEDHealthcare4d (negative) · Z: -2.3763.1%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
XPOIndustrials3d (negative) · Z: -0.8162.9%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
NOKTechnology5d (negative) · Z: -0.6461.9%Screen Clearedoption_quote_spread_too_wide
TCommunication Services3d (negative) · Z: -1.8961.0%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
MTZIndustrials5d (negative) · Z: -0.6660.6%Screen Clearedoption_quote_spread_too_wide
CDNSTechnology6d (negative) · Z: -1.8659.9%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
CMIIndustrials3d (negative) · Z: -0.6359.2%Screen Clearedoption_quote_invalid
YUMConsumer Cyclical5d (negative) · Z: -0.5957.6%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
EXRReal Estate5d (negative) · Z: -0.8257.1%Screen Clearedno_viable_vertical_spreads
LINEReal Estate3d (negative) · Z: -1.0155.9%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price
JDConsumer Cyclical4d (negative) · Z: -0.6651.9%Screen Clearedoption midpoint does not produce a positive spread price